Journal articles


Inequality Aversion for Climate Policy,” with Stellio Del Campo and Ulrike Kornek, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2024, 18(1).


Identifying low-carbon energy R&D portfolios that are robust when models and experts disagree,” with Franklyn Kanyako and Erin Baker, Joule, 2023, 7: 2245-2260.


Sea Level and Socioeconomic Uncertainty Drives High-End Coastal Adaptation Costs,” with Tony E. Wong, Catherine Ledna, Lisa Rennels, Hannah Sheets, Frank C. Errickson and Delavane Diaz, Earth's Future, 2022, 10(12): e2022EF003061.


MimiBRICK.jl: A Julia package for the BRICK model for sea-level change in the Mimi integrated modeling framework,” with Tony E. Wong, Lisa Rennels, Frank C. Errickson, Vivek Srikrishnan, Alexander Bakker and Klaus Keller. Journal of Open Source Software, 2022, 7(76): 4556.


Comprehensive Evidence Implies a Higher Social Cost of CO2,” with Kevin Rennert, Frank Errickson, Brian C. Prest, Lisa Rennels, Richard G. Newell, William Pizer, Cora Kingdon, Jordan Wingenroth, Roger Cooke, Bryan Parthum, David Smith, Kevin Cromar, Delavane Diaz, Frances C. Moore, Ulrich K. Müller, Richard J. Plevin, Adrian E. Raftery, Hana Ševčíková, Hannah Sheets, James H. Stock, Tammy Tan, Mark Watson and Tony E. Wong, Nature, 2022, 610: 687-692.


Testing the Dismal Theorem,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 2022, 9(5):885-920.


The Social Cost of Carbon: Advances in Long-Term Probabilistic Projections of Population, GDP, Emissions, and Discount Rates,” with Kevin Rennert, Brian C. Prest, William A. Pizer, Richard G. Newell, Cora Kingdon, Lisa Rennels, Roger Cooke, Adrian E. Raftery, Hana Ševčíková and Frank Errickson, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2022, Fall 2021: 223-305.


Utilitarian benchmarks for emissions and pledges promote equity, climate and development,” with Mark B. Budolfson, Francis Dennig, Frank Errickson, Kevin Kuruc, Dean Spears and Navroz K. Dubash, Nature Climate Change, 2021, 11:827-833.


Health Impacts of Climate Change as Contained in Economic Models Estimating the Social Cost of Carbon Dioxide,” with Kevin Cromar, Peter Howard and Valeri Vasquez, GeoHealth, 2021, 5(8).


Distributions.jl: Definition and Modeling of Probability Distributions in the JuliaStats Ecosystem,” with Mathieu Besançon, Alex Arslan, Simon Byrne, Dahua Lin, Theodore Papamarkou and John Pearson, Journal of Statistical Software, 2021, 98(16): 1-30.


The importance of health co-benefits under different climate policy cooperation frameworks,” with Noah Scovronick, Francis Dennig, Frank Errickson, Maddalena Ferranna, Wei Peng, Dean Spears, Fabian Wagner and Mark Budolfson, Environmental Research Letters 2021, 16(5).


Equity is more important for the social cost of methane than climate uncertainty,” with Frank C. Errickson, Klaus Keller, William D. Collins and Vivek Srikrishnan, Nature, 2021, 592: 564–570.


Eight Priorities for Calculating the Social Cost of Carbon,” with Gernot Wagner, Maureen Cropper, Simon Dietz, Kenneth T. Gillingham, Ben Groom, J. Paul Kelleher, Frances C. Moore and James H. Stock, Nature, 2021, 590: 548–50.


Inequality and the Social Cost of Carbon,” with Johannes Emmerling, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 2019, 6(2): 29-59.


Modeling Uncertainty in Integrated Assessment of Climate Change: A Multimodel Comparison,” with Kenneth Gillingham, William Nordhaus, Geoffrey Blanford, Valentina Bosetti, Peter Christensen, Haewon McJeon and John Reilly, Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 2018, 5(4): 791-826.


Mimi-PAGE, an open-source implementation of the PAGE09 integrated assessment model,” with Frances Moore, James Rising, Niklas Lollo, Cecilia Springer, Valeri Vasquez, Alex Dolginow and Chris Hope, Scientific Data, 2018, 5: 180187.


Priority for the worse-off and the social cost of carbon,” with Matthew Adler, Valentina Bosetti, Greg Garner, Klaus Keller and Nicolas Treich, Nature Climate Change, 2017, 7(6): 443-449.


Shutting Down the Thermohaline Circulation,” with Francisco Estrada and Richard S.J. Tol, American Economic Review, 2016, 106(5): 602-606.


Using and improving the social cost of carbon,” with W. Pizer, M. Adler, J. Aldy, M. Cropper, K. Gillingham, M. Greenstone, B. Murray, R. Newell, R. Richels, A. Rowell, S. Waldhoff and J. Wiener, Science, 2014, 346(6214): 1189-1190.


The Marginal Damage Costs of Different Greenhouse Gases: An Application of FUND,” with Stephanie Waldhoff, Steven Rose and Richard S.J. Tol, Economics: The Open-Access, Open Assessment E-Journal, 2014, 8(2014-31): 1-33.


Climate policy under fat-tailed risk: an application of FUND,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Annals of Operations Research, 2014, 220(1): 223-237.


The Uncertainty about the Social Cost of Carbon: A Decomposition Analysis Using FUND,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Climatic Change, 2013, 117(3): 515-530. “Erratum to: The uncertainty about the social cost of carbon: A decomposition analysis using FUND,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Climatic Change, 2013. [code]


Self-interested low-carbon growth in Brazil, China and India,” with John Ward, Cameron Hepburn, Simon Baptist, Philip Gradwell, Chris Hope and Max Krahé, Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, 2012, 4(3): 291-318.


Climate damages in the FUND model: A comment,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Ecological Economics, 2012, 81: 42.


On International Equity Weights and National Decision Making on Climate Change,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2010, 60(1): 14-20.


Government Failure and Market Failure: On the Inefficiency of Environmental and Energy Policy,” with Robert W. Hahn, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 2010, 26(2): 197-224.


International Climate Policy and Regional Welfare Weights,” with Daiju Narita and Richard S.J. Tol, Environmental Science & Policy, 2010, 13(8): 713-720.


The Economic Impact of Substantial Sea-Level Rise,” with Robert J. Nicholls and Richard S.J. Tol, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2010, 15(4): 321-335.


Economic Costs of Extratropical Storms Under Climate Change: An Application of FUND,” with Daiju Narita and Richard S.J. Tol, Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 2010, 53(3): 371-384.


The Impact of Climate Change on the Balanced-Growth-Equivalent: An Application of FUND,” with Richard S.J. Tol, Environmental and Resource Economics, 2009, 43(3): 351-367.


Equity weighting and the marginal damage costs of climate change,” with Cameron Hepburn and Richard S.J. Tol, Ecological Economics, 2009, 68(3): 836-849.


Discounting for Climate Change,” with Richard S.J. Tol and Gary W. Yohe, Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2009, 3(2009-24).


Damage Costs of Climate Change Through Intensification of Tropical Cyclone Activities: An Application of FUND,” with Daiju Narita and Richard S.J. Tol, Climate Research, 2009, 39(2): 87-97.


Risk Aversion, Time Preference, and the Social Cost of Carbon,” with Richard S.J. Tol and Gary W. Yohe, Environmental Research Letters, 2009, 4(024002).


Discounting and the social cost of carbon: a closer look at uncertainty,” with Jiehan Guo, Cameron Hepburn and Richard S.J. Tol, Environmental Science & Policy, 2006, 9(3): 205-216.


Book Chapters


“The income elasticity of the impact of climate change,” with Richard S.J. Tol, in Is the Environment a Luxury? An inquiry into the relationship between environment and income, Silvia Tiezzi and Chiara Martini (eds.), Routledge, 2014: 34-47.


“Schelling’s Conjecture on Climate and Development: A Test,” with Richard S.J. Tol, in Climate Change and Common Sense: Essays in Honour of Tom Schelling, Robert W. Hahn and Alistair Ulph (eds.), Oxford University Press, 2012: 260-273.


“Methane Mitigation: Alternative Perspective,” in Smart Solutions to Climate Change. Comparing Costs and Benefits, Bjørn Lomborg (ed.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010: 198-207.


“Kommentar zu Hans-Werner Sinn,” with Richard S.J. Tol, in Jahrbuch Ökologische Ökonomik 6: Diskurs Klimapolitik, Joachim Weimann (ed.), Metropolis-Verlag, Marburg, 2009.


Popular Writing


Thinking Through the Climate Change Challenge,” with Elizabeth Baldwin, Scott Barrett, Linda R. Cohen, Diane Coyle, Partha Dasgupta, Simon Dietz, David Frame, Robert W. Hahn, James Hammitt, Geoffrey Heal, Cameron Hepburn, Michael Hoel, Charles D. Kolstad, Andreas Lange, Robert Mendelsohn, Karine Nyborg, Ian Parry, Ken Richards, Robert Ritz, Thomas Schelling, Massimo Tavoni, Alistair Ulph, Herman Vollebergh and Anastasios Xepapadeas, VoxEU.org, 2011.


On international equity weights and national decision making on climate change,” with Richard S.J. Tol, VoxEU.org (also as IVM Newsletter and ESRI Research Bulletin), 2010.


Klimaschäden und Klimaverhandlungen,” with Janina Ketterer and Jana Lippelt, ifo Schnelldienst, 2009, 62(22): 52-54.


Reports and Other Publications


Equity and Climate Change: Applications of FUND,” Reports on Earth System Science, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, 2009, 74.


“Marginal Damage from Greenhouse Gas Emissions,” Report for the New Energy Externalities Development for Sustainability project, 2007.


“Global impacts of abrupt sea-level rise,” with Robert J. Nicholls and Richard S.J. Tol, Background paper for the Stern Review, 2006.


“Social Cost of Carbon: A Closer Look at Uncertainty,” with Thomas E. Downing, Ruth Butterfield, Megan Ceronsky, Michael Grubb, Jiehan Guo, Cameron Hepburn, Chris Hope, Alistair Hunt, Ada Li, Anil Markandya, Scott Moss, Anthony Nyong, Richard S.J. Tol and Paul Watkiss, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (UK), London, 2005.


“The Social Costs of Carbon Review – Methodological Approaches for Using SCC Estimates in Policy Assessment,” with Paul Watkiss, Thomas E. Downing, Cameron Hepburn, Chris Hope, Alistair Hunt and Richard S.J. Tol, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (UK), London, 2005.